Real matches — Poisson prediction
Model: Poisson + Dixon-Coles
Attack/defense strengths computed from league standings. Dixon-Coles correction for low-score matches. Educational estimates only.
Match list
For each match pick one or more signs.
Prior 1-X-2 probabilities
| Outcome |
Serie A |
Premier |
Avg |
| 1 | ~46% | ~45% | ~46% |
| X | ~28% | ~25% | ~26% |
| 2 | ~26% | ~30% | ~28% |
Prediction history